Weekly picks against the spread

WE ARE OFF TO A DECENT START!

Last week was underdog city as 9 underdogs not only covered but won! Passing TD’s are down and the NFC south is actually looking like it could be a tough division what is going on? We are just over 65% but its early and the oddsmakers are finally getting the data points for their models, hold on tight!

Week 1	Week 2	Week 3
KC -3	BUF +2.5	NYJ -6
PHI -2.5	NO +6.5	CLE -6.5
ATL -3.5	TB +7.5	GB +2.5
AZ + 6.5	IND -2.5	IND -1
CHI -3.5	LAC -4.5	MIN +2
CIN -8.5	NYJ -3.5	NO +2.5
IND + 3	BAL -8.5	LAC +1
MIA -3.5	SEA -3	TB -6.5
NO -4	WAS -1.5	LV -5
MIN -1.5	CLE +3	SEA -4
LV + 3	SF -4	DAL +1.5
SEA -6	AZ +1	SF -7
TB -3.5	KC-6.5	DET -3
DET -3.5	HOU -6.5	KC -3.5
SF -4.5	PHI -5.5	BUF -5
DAL +2.5	PIT -2.5	CIN -7.5

Week 4

Josh Heupel returns to Norman like the long-lost relative who once brought glory to the household, only to be cast out—and now, he’s back with a vengeance. Tennessee’s offense has been a wrecking ball, obliterating everything in its path, but this game will be its first real test. On the other side, Oklahoma’s offense is like a young giraffe learning to walk under a new offensive coordinator, still trying to find its stride amidst injuries.

Forget the “first SEC game” hype. OU isn’t some newbie like Cincinnati once was—they’re a battle-hardened contender. The real story? Oklahoma’s O-line and receivers trying to outmaneuver a fierce Tennessee front seven. If the Sooners were sweating against Tulane’s D-line, they’d better brace themselves for the Volunteers’ onslaught. Tennessee’s been cruising, averaging 42-1 at halftime, but those were cupcake matchups. Saturday night COULD be a reality check, with Iamaleava potentially cracking under the pressure.

An unproven OU quarterback facing a historically strong SEC team. Sounds a bit like 2015, doesn’t it? Maybe Jackson Arnold will have his Baker Mayfield moment, but he doesn’t have Sterling Shepard, Samaje Perine, or Joe Mixon to back him up. If the spread pushes to +7, Oklahoma might cover. But as it stands, Tennessee -6.5 looks like the smarter bet.

The Pick: Tennessee -6.5

The rest of the week 4 picks:

South Alabama +8.5

IND -28.5

USC -5

Colorado -1.5

KSU -6.5

Pizza Money Parlay:

MEM -9.5, WKU +2.5, PUR/ORST 050.5, UNT/Wyoming O55.5

Week by Week Armchair Standings

We want to be accountable, honest, and well we are competitive. It would be easy to make ourselves look better by just picking moneyline, but we know ATS is where the true fun and skill shows. We pick EVERY NFL game, and both pick a selected set of NCAA games along with a handful of our own selections each week.

Updated 7.10.24

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